Economic calendar

What gold does after the US PCE report

PCE is the inflation figure the Fed aims at, and it comes out at 8:30 a.m. New York time near the end of each month. Here are all 56 releases since 28 January 2022, with gold's move 15 minutes and an hour after each one, from 1-minute spot gold bars.

Last updated

In the hour after

Gold rose in the hour after 29 of the 55 releases with a move here, from 28 January 2022 to 30 September 2026.

Typical size

The middle-sized move in that hour, up or down, was 0.22%. Half the releases moved gold less than that, half moved it more.

The biggest hours

The largest rise was +0.98% on 28 May 2026. The largest fall was -0.69% on 27 June 2025.

A count of what happened, not a forecast.

Every release since 28 January 2022

Release (New York time)PCE, 12 monthsGold, 15 minGold, 1 hourGold at the release

August 2026
3.4%+0.51%0.00%$4,193.42

July 2026
3.7%-0.17%-0.42%$4,630.68

June 2026
3.7%+0.01%+0.08%$4,076.98

May 2026
4.1%+0.54%+0.95%$3,984.20

April 2026
3.8%+0.38%+0.98%$4,385.81

March 2026
3.5%-0.09%+0.08%$4,629.76

February 2026
2.8%+0.12%+0.31%$4,738.01

January 2026
2.8%-0.04%-0.10%$5,114.16

December 2025
2.9%+0.05%+0.25%$5,028.78

October 2025 + November 2025
2.7%+0.09%+0.76%$4,835.12

September 2025
2.8%-0.05%+0.04%$4,242.07

August 2025
2.7%+0.04%+0.22%$3,749.74

July 2025
2.6%+0.13%+0.27%$3,408.32

June 2025
2.6%+0.05%+0.05%$3,306.96

May 2025
2.3%-0.27%-0.69%$3,279.92

April 2025
2.1%+0.08%-0.22%$3,301.83

March 2025
2.3%-0.02%+0.03%$3,309.01

February 2025
2.5%+0.13%+0.02%$3,076.12

January 2025
2.5%-0.05%-0.37%$2,857.51

December 2024
2.6%+0.08%+0.09%$2,805.06

November 2024
2.4%+0.30%+0.55%$2,601.01

October 2024
2.3%-0.44%-0.32%$2,651.27

September 2024
2.1%-0.11%-0.37%$2,777.47

August 2024
2.2%+0.25%+0.04%$2,665.08

July 2024
2.5%-0.25%-0.32%$2,523.48

June 2024
2.5%+0.08%+0.24%$2,373.40

May 2024
2.6%+0.13%-0.07%$2,333.36

April 2024
2.7%+0.37%+0.43%$2,344.00

March 2024
2.7%+0.22%-0.05%$2,343.20

February 2024
2.5%–––

January 2024
2.4%+0.58%+0.78%$2,032.23

December 2023
2.6%+0.02%-0.03%$2,022.27

November 2023
2.6%+0.06%+0.27%$2,061.97

October 2023
3.0%-0.15%-0.17%$2,041.59

September 2023
3.4%+0.11%-0.09%$1,983.66

August 2023
3.5%+0.16%+0.24%$1,870.26

July 2023
3.3%-0.12%-0.15%$1,946.55

June 2023
3.0%-0.07%-0.07%$1,956.43

May 2023
3.8%+0.31%+0.37%$1,906.72

April 2023
4.4%-0.40%-0.20%$1,952.48

March 2023
4.2%-0.06%+0.38%$1,981.05

February 2023
5.0%+0.22%+0.16%$1,977.60

January 2023
5.4%-0.11%-0.30%$1,816.74

December 2022
5.0%+0.02%-0.25%$1,932.61

November 2022
5.5%-0.01%-0.29%$1,798.80

October 2022
6.0%+0.04%+0.61%$1,788.50

September 2022
6.2%+0.04%-0.15%$1,645.66

August 2022
6.2%+0.11%-0.14%$1,666.50

July 2022
6.3%-0.01%+0.25%$1,746.80

June 2022
6.8%-0.24%-0.16%$1,761.55

May 2022
6.3%+0.95%+0.84%$1,803.27

April 2022
6.3%-0.26%+0.18%$1,856.97

March 2022
6.6%-0.09%-0.20%$1,912.66

February 2022
6.4%0.00%+0.24%$1,933.70

January 2022
6.1%-0.11%-0.18%$1,893.35

December 2021
5.8%+0.06%-0.10%$1,785.51

PCE, 12 months: the PCE price index against the same month a year before, as each release prints it. Release times from each release of the Bureau of Economic Analysis (Personal Income and Outlays); most are at 8:30 a.m. New York time.

How we measure the move

The move starts at the release minute, read off each release itself. We take the open of the 1-minute bar that starts at that minute and the open of the bar 15 and 60 minutes later, and give the percent change between them.

The gold prices are the 1-minute spot gold (XAU/USD) bars behind the Pravex gold chart, the same bars you see when you open it. Release dates, times and figures come from the agency, and every row links to its release. 1 of the listed releases have no move, because gold was in its daily pause or holiday hours at that minute, or a bar was missing.

Why gold watches PCE

The Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes the PCE price index with personal income and spending. The Fed states its 2% goal in PCE terms, so a surprise here changes what traders expect from rates. CPI comes out earlier in the month, so traders often go into PCE day with a fair idea of the number.

The next one

The next release is on 29 October 2026 at 8:30 a.m. New York time. The row fills in an hour after it. release time on your clock.

Questions and answers

Does gold move after PCE?

Often a little. Across the 55 PCE releases with a move on this page, gold rose in the hour after 29, and the middle-sized move was 0.22%.

What time does PCE come out?

Usually at 8:30 a.m. New York time. The next one is on 29 October 2026 at 8:30 a.m. New York time.

Where do the figures on this page come from?

Dates, times and release figures come from the agency that publishes them, and each row links to the release. Gold's moves are worked out by Pravex from the 1-minute spot gold (XAU/USD) bars of our gold chart. Nothing here is a forecast.

Gold after the other releases

The same table for the other US releases gold traders watch: Gold after CPI, Gold after NFP, Gold after FOMC. live gold price chart. Bitcoin next to gold after FOMC and CPI: the dated table. What the big funds hold: the gold COT report.

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Not financial advice. Read our disclaimer.

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